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Poll Survey: KCR to create History, BRS to win Telangana

Wednesday, November 22, 2023 • Tamil Comments
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Poll Survey: KCR to create History, BRS to win Telangana

In the lead-up to the imminent elections for the Telangana assembly, key political contenders - KCR's BRS, Rahul Gandhi's Congress, and PM Modi's BJP - are sparing no effort to secure victory in the state. As the campaign period nears its conclusion, the political climate intensifies, matching the rising temperatures.

Telangana's incumbent Chief Minister KCR and the ruling BRS are relying on their track record of developmental initiatives and pro-poor schemes implemented during their tenure. In contrast, Congress and BJP seek to make headway by emphasizing perceived failures. Amidst this, numerous surveys conducted by various agencies, psychologists, and channels have flooded the landscape. However, their reliability is questioned due to perceived biases toward one party or another.

Poll Survey: KCR to create History, BRS to win Telangana

Amidst this uncertainty, a noteworthy survey predicts a sweeping victory for BRS in Telangana. If this prediction holds true, KCR would achieve a remarkable hat-trick, securing a third term as CM. Such an accomplishment eluded even stalwarts like Sr NTR, Jayalalithaa, Annadurai, Karunanidhi, and MGR in the southern political landscape.

Here are the key findings of the survey:

Sample Size and Methodology: The survey, conducted by professionals from November 16 to November 21, based its findings on a substantial sample size of 1,19,000. Utilizing both qualitative and quantitative research methods, the conclusions were drawn through meticulous data analysis.

BRS's Prospects: Despite aiming for a hat-trick, the BRS faces anti-incumbency sentiments among certain voter groups, including the youth, students, and those who did not benefit from specific schemes. Potential setbacks could result in the BRS dropping from 88 seats in 2018 to an estimated 65-76 seats in 2023. However, despite Congress's efforts to shape negative narratives, the BRS is anticipated to form the government with over 70 seats.

Poll Survey: KCR to create History, BRS to win Telangana

Congress's Challenges: The survey highlights confusion among voters regarding Congress leadership and the potential instability of a Congress-led government due to perceived leadership issues. Although Congress sees an increase in vote share and seats, it falls short of the magic figure. Concerns about the '6-Guarantees' being perceived as an upgraded version of BRS schemes and the party's track record, compounded by an unstable government situation in Karnataka, dampen support for Congress.

As Telangana approaches a crucial electoral juncture, these findings offer insights into the complex dynamics influencing voter sentiments and party strategies. The unfolding political landscape promises an engaging and closely contested electoral battle.

BJP's Challenges: The BJP, once positioned as a formidable contender in Telangana, has encountered a shift in dynamics, now facing the possibility of trailing even behind the AIMIM. While the BJP achieved notable victories in Dubbaka, Huzurabad (by-elections), and Goshamahal (general elections), their inclusion of Gadwal in their wins raises unresolved questions due to Bandla Krishna Mohan Reddy's disqualification after a 4.5-year term, impacting DK Aruna's constituency leadership.

Poll Survey: KCR to create History, BRS to win Telangana

The ambiguity surrounding this development has affected the standing of DK Aruna in the constituency. Further complicating matters, MLA Rathod Bapu Rao's transition from BRS to BJP in 2023 has added an extra layer of complexity. Out of the five Assembly constituencies, only Goshamahal is expected to be retained by the BJP in the 2023 elections, alongside Bodhan and Nizamabad Urban. However, the uncertainty over Gadwal persists.

Despite these challenges, the BJP has made significant strides in increasing its vote share compared to previous elections. Notably, the electoral battleground seems to be fiercely contested between the BRS and the BJP, with the INC trailing in the third position in those constituencies.

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